The National Hurricane Center began advisories Wednesday on a system it forecasts to become the season’s next tropical depression or storm. Long-range forecast models predict it will intensify into a hurricane and threaten Florida by the middle of next week.

Lots of factors in play but Tropical Storm Sara is expected to form this week and could become a major hurricane threatening the US next week.

Though the impacts are unknown at this time, residents near the Gulf of Mexico are encouraged to monitor Tropical Depression 19.