As we get more precise information (for example, from the Webb Space Telescope) the cloud of possible positions gets smaller. If the cloud still intersects the Earth’s position, the smaller cloud of ...
"Statistical thinking will one day be as necessary for efficient citizenship as the ability to read and write." – H.G. Wells ...
So far there have been 86 matches played, 63 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 73.3%. Here are the predictions for last week’s games.
Here are the predictions for Round 17. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.
Here are the predictions for Week 2. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.
Here are the predictions for Week 11. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.
Here are the predictions for Week 1. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.
So far there have been 55 matches played, 36 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 65.5%. Here are the predictions for last week’s games.
The study is here and the press release is here. It uses 2022 data from a massive annual telephone survey of health in the US, the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, “BRFSS” to its friends.